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Red20
30827.5
353610.8
233726.5
Blue141
125037.2
24723.9
102329.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657305010015020020141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#12
27.52.3
24.221.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
1250
#10
37.23.5
28.431.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2337
#35
26.52.3
29.126.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1023
#13
29.43.5
23.026.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3536
#38
10.82.3
13.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
247
#20
23.93.5
20.223.7
Auto
Teleop
End