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Red95
22628.5
429435.1
24723.9
Blue91
91019.7
317515.7
6634.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865501001502009591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.7
31.632.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
66
#6
34.81.6
30.632.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
226
#16
28.50.7
22.323.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
910
#4
19.71.6
15.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
247
#20
23.90.7
26.827.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
3175
#25
15.71.6
13.615.2
Auto
Teleop
End