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Red167
90425.3
46977.6
3368.4
Blue117
22628.5
125037.2
6634.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1928250100150250300167117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
77.60.1
78.778.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.4
1250
#10
37.20.3
36.737.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
#2
68.40.1
69.669.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.6
66
#6
34.80.3
34.434.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
#26
25.30.1
26.526.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
226
#16
28.50.3
28.028.3
Auto
Teleop
End