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Red174
353953.1
46983.0
21741.1
Blue134
2748.4
118951.9
213748.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18114750100200250300174134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#2
83.00.0
82.482.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
1189
#12
51.90.3
53.252.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3539
#15
53.10.0
52.552.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
27
#29
48.40.3
49.749.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
217
#42
41.10.0
40.540.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
48.30.3
49.649.3
Auto
Teleop
End