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Quarterfinal 4-22013 Michigan FRC State Championship
Red158
171855.9
3371.9
6849.8
Blue115
86261.7
341449.9
364144.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184153100200250158115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#16
71.90.4
72.5→72.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.2
862
#14
61.70.7
62.4→61.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1718
#3
55.90.4
56.5→56.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.0
3414
#8
49.90.7
50.6→49.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
68
#54
49.80.4
50.4→50.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.1
3641
#24
44.60.7
45.4→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—