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Red155
168441.8
150441.9
432550.7
Blue125
21741.1
170134.7
361834.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309450150200155125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#36
50.71.5
50.351.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
217
#42
41.11.2
33.735.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1504
#39
41.91.5
37.338.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1701
#18
34.71.2
31.532.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1684
#55
41.81.5
37.038.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
3618
#61
34.21.2
34.936.1
Auto
Teleop
End