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Red160
357249.9
200060.6
54829.7
Blue186
323440.8
118951.9
205461.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9815350200250160186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.62.7
49.051.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
61.92.1
56.158.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3572
#33
49.92.7
36.739.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1189
#12
51.92.1
44.046.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
548
#40
29.72.7
20.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
3234
#50
40.82.1
44.146.2
Auto
Teleop
End