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Red142
57351.2
6849.8
267342.2
Blue150
170134.7
3371.9
296032.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14013280100120160180200220142150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#22
51.20.2
51.851.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.7
33
#16
71.90.8
71.572.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
#54
49.80.2
47.447.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
1701
#18
34.70.8
32.733.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2673
#41
42.20.2
39.739.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
2960
#46
32.20.8
28.929.8
Auto
Teleop
End