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Red171
205461.9
357249.9
50339.3
Blue135
150441.9
277137.1
261944.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15111750100200250171135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.91.3
63.064.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
2619
#30
44.60.6
47.147.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3572
#33
49.91.3
46.547.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1504
#39
41.90.6
38.839.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
503
#20
39.31.3
36.437.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2771
#35
37.10.6
36.937.5
Auto
Teleop
End