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Qual 1152013 Michigan FRC State Championship
Red170
118951.9
413042.5
295953.3
Blue181
191858.5
341449.9
102334.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15612850100200250170181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#23
53.30.9
52.0→52.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
1918
#7
58.52.4
53.0→55.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1189
#12
51.90.9
54.8→55.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
3414
#8
49.92.4
47.8→50.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4130
#47
42.50.9
44.7→45.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.2
1023
#37
34.32.4
31.7→34.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—