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Qual 1172013 Michigan FRC State Championship
Red113
32648.8
432550.7
438441.3
Blue127
364144.6
353953.1
171855.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14016650100200250300113127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#36
50.71.5
51.8→50.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
1718
#3
55.91.8
59.1→57.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
326
#21
48.81.5
46.6→45.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.3
3539
#15
53.11.8
56.8→55.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4384
#51
41.31.5
45.4→43.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.3
3641
#24
44.61.8
46.3→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—