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Red159
360443.3
296032.2
150441.9
Blue94
85834.5
85728.5
277137.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112995015020015994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#44
43.32.4
40.943.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
2771
#35
37.10.4
37.537.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1504
#39
41.92.4
39.441.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
858
#62
34.50.4
34.934.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2960
#46
32.22.4
29.832.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
857
#56
28.50.4
28.828.5
Auto
Teleop
End