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Red104
118951.9
353953.1
438441.3
Blue222
6772.9
21741.1
213748.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155154120140180200220104222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#15
53.12.5
55.152.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.8
67
#4
72.93.4
71.474.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1189
#12
51.92.5
55.753.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
48.33.4
46.349.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4384
#51
41.32.5
43.841.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
217
#42
41.13.4
37.140.5
Auto
Teleop
End