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Red143
150441.9
341449.9
200060.6
Blue124
261944.6
5145.1
49450.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134124100150200143124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.5
51.652.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
494
#17
50.40.1
41.941.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.90.5
48.148.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
51
#34
45.10.1
43.643.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1504
#39
41.90.5
33.033.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2619
#30
44.60.1
39.839.8
Auto
Teleop
End