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Red141
341449.9
438441.3
12336.6
Blue105
54829.7
150441.9
323440.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12810150150200141105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.9
48.649.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1504
#39
41.90.0
33.533.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4384
#51
41.30.9
39.240.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3234
#50
40.80.0
48.348.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
123
#25
36.60.9
35.736.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
548
#40
29.70.0
23.523.5
Auto
Teleop
End