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Red112
267342.2
21741.1
14141.1
Blue136
49450.4
205461.9
54829.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8512250100150200112136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2673
#41
42.21.1
31.232.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.8
61.91.0
55.156.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
#28
41.11.1
28.930.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
494
#17
50.41.0
40.941.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
217
#42
41.11.1
30.631.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
548
#40
29.71.0
19.920.9
Auto
Teleop
End