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Red79
432550.7
102334.3
437716.2
Blue140
261132.3
277137.1
214549.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110405015020025030079140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#36
50.70.7
44.844.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
49.81.9
38.540.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1023
#37
34.30.7
31.831.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2771
#35
37.11.9
35.637.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4377
#59
16.20.7
16.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
2611
#49
32.31.9
27.529.4
Auto
Teleop
End