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Red161
57351.2
213748.3
342128.1
Blue99
261252.2
150441.9
31447.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151138010012014016016199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#22
51.22.4
47.850.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2612
#10
52.20.8
39.839.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.32.4
43.245.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
314
#19
47.50.8
40.940.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3421
#48
28.12.4
22.524.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
1504
#39
41.90.8
33.532.8
Auto
Teleop
End