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Red158
277137.1
213748.3
2748.4
Blue120
413042.5
14141.1
283434.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13810750150200250158120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#29
48.41.2
48.349.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
4130
#47
42.50.4
43.543.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.31.2
48.349.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
141
#28
41.10.4
33.634.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2771
#35
37.11.2
36.637.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2834
#53
34.20.4
34.434.8
Auto
Teleop
End