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Red171
341449.9
285136.2
118951.9
Blue108
368837.0
437716.2
57351.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13891050150200250171108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#12
51.92.0
51.953.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
573
#22
51.20.5
49.249.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.92.0
48.350.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
3688
#26
37.00.5
31.732.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2851
#11
36.22.0
30.532.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
4377
#59
16.20.5
17.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End