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Red127
261132.3
150441.9
85834.5
Blue143
3371.9
54829.7
413042.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94149050200250300127143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#39
41.91.2
36.537.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.0
33
#16
71.90.1
69.169.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
858
#62
34.51.2
35.736.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
4130
#47
42.50.1
43.944.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2611
#49
32.31.2
30.631.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
548
#40
29.70.1
27.227.4
Auto
Teleop
End