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Red159
191858.5
57351.2
7045.3
Blue151
171855.9
432550.7
261944.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139162050100200250300350159151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.8
47.548.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
55.90.3
61.861.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
573
#22
51.20.8
49.650.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4325
#36
50.70.3
50.249.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
70
#31
45.30.8
45.746.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2619
#30
44.60.3
45.945.6
Auto
Teleop
End