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Red100
368837.0
261132.3
295953.3
Blue89
102527.4
170134.7
247448.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115995015020010089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#23
53.30.6
54.453.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2474
#27
48.00.6
45.444.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3688
#26
37.00.6
29.629.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1701
#18
34.70.6
29.929.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2611
#49
32.30.6
28.327.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
1025
#60
27.40.6
26.225.6
Auto
Teleop
End