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Red124
170134.7
365645.2
85834.5
Blue159
12336.6
353953.1
50339.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109129050150200250300124159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#45
45.20.6
45.145.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
3539
#15
53.11.6
55.757.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1701
#18
34.70.6
30.330.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
503
#20
39.31.6
33.134.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
858
#62
34.50.6
36.837.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
123
#25
36.61.6
37.439.1
Auto
Teleop
End