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Red156
118951.9
364144.6
14141.1
Blue101
261252.2
85728.5
12336.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710750150200156101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#12
51.91.2
52.753.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2612
#10
52.20.5
45.444.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3641
#24
44.61.2
45.346.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
123
#25
36.60.5
39.138.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
141
#28
41.11.2
34.635.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
857
#56
28.50.5
27.126.5
Auto
Teleop
End