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Red195
32648.8
342128.1
353953.1
Blue113
54829.7
28025.6
6849.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1229450150200195113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#15
53.13.9
54.858.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
68
#54
49.80.7
47.348.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
326
#21
48.83.9
39.943.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
548
#40
29.70.7
29.330.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3421
#48
28.13.9
22.826.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
280
#64
25.60.7
21.922.6
Auto
Teleop
End