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Red167
24561.7
118951.9
171855.9
Blue146
168441.8
3371.9
2748.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18115250100200250167146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#13
61.70.5
61.460.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
33
#16
71.90.5
68.868.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.90.5
61.360.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
27
#29
48.40.5
50.550.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1189
#12
51.90.5
53.853.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
1684
#55
41.80.5
37.637.0
Auto
Teleop
End