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Red192
6772.9
233731.2
205461.9
Blue154
357249.9
214549.8
191858.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174160100150200250192154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#4
72.90.3
74.875.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
58.50.1
59.959.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61.90.3
63.864.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
3572
#33
49.90.1
51.251.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2337
#52
31.20.3
33.133.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
49.80.1
51.251.1
Auto
Teleop
End