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Red16
28015.8
354214.0
48156.8
Blue16
22245.5
51912.2
259115.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38380102030506070801616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#17
15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2591
#27
15.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3542
#10
14.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
519
#28
12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
6.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2224
#22
5.5
Auto
Teleop
End