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Red43
118932.8
48387.6
48518.1
Blue21
46801.6
81518.2
51912.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3621060801004321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.5
21.021.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
815
#8
18.20.2
8.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4851
#20
8.10.8
6.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
519
#28
12.20.2
10.610.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4838
#30
7.60.5
6.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
4680
#37
1.60.2
4.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End