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Red40
20115.3
309614.2
51912.2
Blue42
285130.6
9415.9
262015.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38450102030506070804042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#14
15.30.1
17.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
30.60.1
26.526.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3096
#12
14.20.1
10.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
94
#11
15.90.2
9.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
519
#28
12.20.1
10.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2620
#23
15.20.2
7.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End