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Red41
28015.8
20115.3
33986.2
Blue21
3224.9
48546.6
475811.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371801030506070804121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#17
15.80.6
12.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4758
#16
11.70.0
11.211.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
#14
15.30.4
18.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
4854
#35
6.60.0
4.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3398
#38
6.20.6
3.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
322
#31
4.90.0
5.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End