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Red0
262015.2
36323.9
48341.5
Blue82
48546.6
31437.2
283424.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186104080100082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#23
15.22.0
11.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.0
314
#6
37.21.4
25.627.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3632
#32
3.92.0
5.33.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.6
2834
#13
24.61.4
21.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4834
#33
1.52.0
8.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
4854
#35
6.62.3
7.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End