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Red133
57336.6
309828.4
168441.1
Blue70
150433.6
438220.1
440531.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088205015020013370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.5
40.340.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
1504
#10
33.60.3
33.933.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
573
#4
36.60.5
35.836.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
31.80.3
32.131.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3098
#17
28.40.5
27.528.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
4382
#28
20.10.3
20.420.1
Auto
Teleop
End