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Red52
43759.5
361710.6
309828.4
Blue50
353417.9
356815.6
332225.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345902040801001205250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#17
28.40.7
18.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
3322
#12
25.60.2
25.625.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3617
#35
10.60.7
12.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
3534
#19
17.90.2
14.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4375
#20
9.50.7
7.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3568
#33
15.60.2
14.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End