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Red9
6616.3
366721.3
330215.1
Blue48
482713.2
361710.6
5143.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45590204080100120948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#37
21.31.9
15.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.2
51
#14
43.50.4
38.938.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
66
#25
16.33.2
16.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
4827
#26
13.20.4
4.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3302
#39
15.13.2
16.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
3617
#35
10.60.4
13.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End