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Red43
440531.8
438220.1
132216.6
Blue85
309828.4
6616.3
261939.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6775020401001201401604385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.3
30.429.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
39.60.6
36.437.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4382
#28
20.11.3
21.220.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
3098
#17
28.40.6
24.224.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1322
#24
16.61.3
16.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
66
#25
16.30.7
13.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End