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Red131
330215.1
261939.6
24550.0
Blue116
309828.4
168441.1
57336.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105106708090100110120130140150131116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#6
50.00.4
50.150.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
41.10.2
41.041.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
39.60.4
39.740.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
573
#4
36.60.2
36.536.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3302
#39
15.10.4
15.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
3098
#17
28.40.2
28.228.4
Auto
Teleop
End