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Red4
167713.8
437711.8
19406.1
Blue31
345215.4
261112.8
36406.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34380206080100431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1677
#16
13.82.5
11.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3452
#25
15.40.6
14.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4377
#14
11.82.5
9.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2611
#13
12.80.6
11.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1940
#38
6.12.5
13.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3640
#35
6.90.6
12.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End