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Red16
14112.8
207511.9
44098.2
Blue124
364134.5
295940.6
365816.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3651020608010012016124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#27
12.81.9
13.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.9
40.66.2
21.527.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2075
#17
11.91.9
16.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.6
34.56.2
18.224.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4409
#20
8.21.9
8.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
16.86.2
9.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End