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Red18
44084.4
42376.9
167713.8
Blue6
43623.1
432713.9
365816.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27410206080100120186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1677
#16
13.80.9
15.414.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
16.82.6
18.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4237
#23
6.90.9
7.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
4327
#21
13.92.6
12.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4408
#32
4.40.9
5.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
4362
#28
3.12.8
8.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End