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Red64
437711.8
207511.9
214523.7
Blue31
345215.4
354616.2
35095.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453602060801001206431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#15
23.71.5
21.522.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
3546
#24
16.20.4
15.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2075
#17
11.91.6
10.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3452
#25
15.40.4
14.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4377
#14
11.81.5
11.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
3509
#39
5.90.4
7.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End