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Red43
214523.7
33579.6
19406.1
Blue45
44084.4
437711.8
125414.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4123060804345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#15
23.70.3
23.323.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
1254
#11
14.01.1
12.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3357
#40
9.60.3
9.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
4377
#14
11.81.1
9.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1940
#38
6.10.3
5.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
4408
#32
4.41.1
3.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End