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Red38
46821.4
132219.4
342111.4
Blue3
48385.4
36685.4
3224.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33190406080100383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
468
#16
21.40.6
8.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
3668
#34
5.41.5
11.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1322
#18
19.40.6
14.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
4838
#33
5.41.5
4.12.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3421
#21
11.40.6
8.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
322
#38
4.31.5
6.24.7
Auto
Teleop
End