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Red5
353510.2
233719.3
37738.5
Blue14
15069.7
34154.1
260415.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37310206080100514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#26
19.32.6
17.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
2604
#10
15.21.5
13.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3535
#17
10.22.6
10.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1506
#31
9.71.5
7.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3773
#35
8.52.6
8.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
3415
#32
4.11.5
11.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End