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Red36
260415.2
438210.7
132219.4
Blue22
8947.1
15069.7
150422.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3130010204050603622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#18
19.40.5
12.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1504
#22
22.80.7
17.617.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2604
#10
15.20.5
11.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1506
#31
9.70.7
6.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4382
#28
10.70.5
6.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
894
#37
7.10.7
6.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End