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Red16
124318.3
440523.3
34154.1
Blue34
168425.8
36685.4
260415.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404402060801001201401634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#14
23.32.0
16.414.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
25.80.8
20.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
#15
18.32.0
15.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2604
#10
15.20.8
14.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3415
#32
4.12.0
8.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3668
#34
5.40.8
8.88.0
Auto
Teleop
End