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Red40
37738.5
168425.8
15069.7
Blue13
477611.5
421611.6
438210.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4523060801001204013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.1
18.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
4216
#20
11.61.1
9.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1506
#31
9.70.1
10.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4776
#23
11.511.0
19.48.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3773
#35
8.50.1
12.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
4382
#28
10.71.1
7.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End