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Red95
91023.8
5116.7
49440.6
Blue123
2749.2
46823.0
353416.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848320406010012095123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
40.60.6
42.543.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
27
Unranked
49.22.0
47.349.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
Unranked
23.80.6
23.624.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
468
Unranked
23.02.0
19.421.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
51
Unranked
16.70.6
17.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3534
Unranked
16.92.0
16.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End