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Red136
6841.1
31447.5
46823.0
Blue16
353416.9
22617.7
438215.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11445010015020013616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
47.51.7
43.945.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.8
226
Unranked
17.72.0
19.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
Unranked
41.11.7
37.539.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.3
3534
Unranked
16.92.0
18.816.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
468
Unranked
23.01.7
21.323.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
4382
Unranked
15.02.0
17.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End